Prediction of Su Jeong Jang vs On Yu Choi at W35 Darwin 10-09-25

• Su Jeong Jang slightly outperforms On Yu Choi in second serve points won, with 39.67% versus 37.74%.
• Who performs better in return games? Su Jeong Jang secures a marginal lead in second serve return points at 55.02% over Choi’s 54.01% but falls behind in first serve returns at 32.55% compared to Choi's 39.21%.
• Under pressure, both players have very similar breakpoint saving capabilities: Jang at 42.37% and Choi at 42.81%.
• Across the past year, On Yu Choi has shown a superior win rate of 55.77% (W/L 29/23), compared to Su Jeong Jang’s 37.93% (W/L 11/18).
• Both players are strongest on Clay with identical win rates, while Su Jeong Jang struggles the most on Grass, and On Yu Choi faces challenges on indoor hard courts.
• In competition level, Jang wins 40.00% of matches in Challenger/ITF tournaments over $10K, whereas Choi hits a higher win rate at 55.56%.
• When considering opponent quality, there’s negligible difference, with Jang facing an average opponent rank of 305.76 and Choi at 305.79.
• If the match enters a deciding set, both players have an equal success rate at winning 50% of these sets over the past year.

Editorial Prediction (October 8, 2025, UTC):

Su Jeong Jang has demonstrated slightly better success in converting second serve opportunities, suggesting an edge in longer rallies.

On Yu Choi, despite somewhat weaker second serve stats, excels in first serve returns, possibly allowing for more break opportunities.

Historically, over the past year, Choi has maintained a higher overall match win rate, indicating superior consistency in match play.

While both players are equally adept on Clay, Choi's recent form suggests she might manage pressure situations slightly better.

Given these facets, On Yu Choi appears to have the upper hand in this upcoming match, likely securing the victory based on current performance trends.